Breakeven ROAS Calculator
Find the minimum ROAS your Shopify ads need to break even — accounting for COGS, payment processing, plan fees, and fixed costs. Includes a sensitivity table showing P&L at every ROAS from 1× to 5×.
1 — Ad Spend
Channel total: $0 — updates the monthly spend above
2 — Cost of Goods (COGS)
Gross margin before fees: 65.0%
3 — Shopify Plan
4 — Payment Processor
5 — Other Monthly Fixed Costs
Your Breakeven ROAS
minimum ROAS to break even
Contribution Margin
—
Revenue at B/E
—
Check Your Actual ROAS
P&L at Different ROAS Levels
| ROAS | Revenue | Net Profit | Margin |
|---|
What Is ROAS — and Why Your Breakeven Isn't 1.0×
ROAS (Return on Ad Spend) measures how much revenue you generate per dollar spent on advertising. A 3× ROAS means every $1 in ads produces $3 in revenue. Simple math suggests that at 1.0× ROAS you break even — but that's wrong, and it's one of the most expensive misunderstandings in ecommerce.
The reason: revenue isn't profit. By the time you pay for product costs, payment processing, your Shopify plan, and app subscriptions, a typical Shopify store keeps only 35–55 cents from every revenue dollar. That means your ads need to generate $2–3 in revenue just to cover their own cost, before any profit appears.
The Three Numbers That Define Your Breakeven
- Contribution Margin % — what's left from each revenue dollar after COGS and variable fees (payment processing). This is the most important number in your business. If you sell a $100 item with $35 COGS and $3 in Shopify Payments fees, your CM is 62%.
- Fixed Cost Load — your Shopify plan, apps, and other costs that don't scale with orders. At $5K/month in ads, adding $500 in fixed costs raises your breakeven ROAS by ~0.16×.
- Ad Spend Scale — as you spend more, fixed costs become a smaller fraction, and your breakeven ROAS drops. This is why profitability often improves at scale even before you optimize creatives.
The Breakeven ROAS Formula — Step by Step
Here's exactly how this calculator arrives at your breakeven ROAS, with a worked example using Shopify Basic + Shopify Payments, $85 AOV, 35% COGS, $5,000 ad spend, $500 fixed costs:
Step 1: Calculate Contribution Margin %
CM% = 1 − COGS% − Processing Rate − (Per-Txn Fee ÷ AOV)
CM% = 1 − 0.35 − 0.029 − (0.30 ÷ 85)
CM% = 1 − 0.35 − 0.029 − 0.00353
CM% = 0.6175 → 61.75% This means you keep $0.6175 from every $1 of revenue, before fixed costs and ad spend.
Step 2: Calculate Breakeven ROAS
Breakeven ROAS = (Ad Spend + Fixed Costs) ÷ (Ad Spend × CM%)
Breakeven ROAS = ($5,000 + $500 + $39) ÷ ($5,000 × 0.6175)
Breakeven ROAS = $5,539 ÷ $3,087.50
Breakeven ROAS = 1.79× Step 3: Net Profit at a Given ROAS
Revenue = ROAS × Ad Spend = 3.0 × $5,000 = $15,000
Net Profit = Revenue × CM% − Fixed Costs − Ad Spend
Net Profit = $15,000 × 0.6175 − $539 − $5,000
Net Profit = $9,262 − $539 − $5,000
Net Profit = $3,723 → 24.8% net margin ROAS Benchmarks by Channel and Product Category (2026)
These are industry medians — your breakeven ROAS (from the calculator above) is your real target, not these averages. But knowing channel norms helps identify underperformance.
By Advertising Channel
| Channel | Median ROAS | Strong ROAS | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Meta (FB/IG) | 2.5–3.5× | 4×+ | Prospecting 1.5–2×, retargeting 4–8× |
| Google Shopping | 3.0–5.0× | 6×+ | Intent-based; higher ROAS, lower volume |
| Google Search | 4.0–8.0× | 10×+ | Brand campaigns can hit 20×+ but small volume |
| TikTok Ads | 1.5–2.5× | 3.5×+ | Lower ROAS, stronger brand building; LTV compensates |
| 2.0–4.0× | 5×+ | Home, fashion, food categories outperform | |
| Email (owned) | 15–40× | 50×+ | Highest ROAS of any channel — invest in list building |
Typical Breakeven ROAS by Product Category
| Category | Typical COGS | Breakeven ROAS | Scale target |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beauty & Skincare | 25–35% | ~1.6× | 2.5× profitable, LTV matters most |
| Supplements / DTC | 20–30% | ~1.5× | Often willing to break even on first order (LTV) |
| Apparel & Fashion | 35–50% | ~2.0–2.3× | Returns inflate true cost; target 3×+ to be safe |
| Home & Garden | 40–55% | ~2.3–2.8× | Shipping costs further raise breakeven |
| Consumer Electronics | 55–70% | ~3.5–5.0× | Thin margins require very efficient targeting |
| Dropshipping | 60–80% | ~5.0–8.0× | Highest breakeven; requires strong brand moat |